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Hideko Ohama

and 43 more

Background/Aim: The present study aimed to develop detailed parameters for prediction of prognosis for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC) receiving Atezolizumab plus Bevacizumab (Atez/Bev). Methods: Between September 2020 and January 2023, the patients treated with Atez/Bev were enrolled (n=719, males 577, median age 74 years). Factors involved in overall survival (OS) were extracted and a prognostic scoring system based on hazard ratio (HR) was created. OS and progression-free survival (PFS) were examined retrospectively, and the prognostic ability of the newly system was compared to CRAFITY score using concordance index (c-index) and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) results. Results: Cox-hazards multivariate analysis showed BCLC classification C/D (HR 1.4; 1 point), AFP ≥100 ng/mL (HR 1.4; 1 point), mALBI 2a (HR 1.7; 1 point), mALBI 2b/3 (HR 2.8; 2 points), and DCP ≥100 mAU/mL (HR 1.6; 1 point) as significant factors. The assigned points were added and used for IMnunotherapy with AFP, BCLC staging, mALBI, and DCP evaluation (IMABALI-De) scoring. For IMABALI-De scores of 0/1/2/3/4/5, OS was not applicable (NA)/NA/26.11/18.79/14.07/8.32 months (P<0.001; AIC 2788.67, c-index 0.699), while for CRAFITY scores of 0/1/2, OS was 26.11/20.29/11.32 months (p<0.001; AIC 2864.54, c-index 0.606). PFS for those IMABALI-De scores was 21.75/12.89/9.18/8.0/5.0/3.75 months (P<0.001; AIC 5203.32, c-index 0.623) and for the CRAFITY scores was10.32/7.68/3.57 months (p<0.001; AIC 5246.61, c-index 0.574). IMABALI-De score had better AIC and c-index results as compared to CRAFITY score for both OS and PFS. Conclusion: The proposed IMABALI-De score may have a favorable prognostic predictive ability for uHCC patients with Atez/Bev.

Xiaolong Qi

and 40 more

Objective: To develop a novel non-invasive model for CSPH, and investigate whether carvedilol could reduce the risk of decompensation in patients with high-risk CSPH stratified by the novel model. Methods: International multicenter observational study with a median follow-up time of 38 months. Three cohorts were included in study from 6 countries. In this study, a total of 1,304 patients were fulfilled diagnosis of liver cirrhosis. Patients were treated with carvedilol in longitudinal carvedilol-treating cohort. The primary outcome was the development of the first hepatic decompensation . Results: Six studies from the meta-analysis were involved (n=819), and LSM and platelet count (PLT) were identified as independent risk factors of CSPH, with pooled risk ratios of 1.10 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.06-1.15) and 0.99 (95% CI 0.98-0.99). A novel model was established. In HVPG cohort (n=151), the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the novel model, ANTICIPATE model, and Baveno VII criteria for CSPH were 0.91 (95% CI 0.86-0.95), 0.80 (95% CI 0.73-0.87), and 0.83 (95% CI 0.77-0.89). The novel model narrows down the grey zone to 22.5%, significantly lower than 50.3%, using Baveno VII criteria (p<0.001). In follow-up cohort (n=1,102), the cumulative incidences (1.7% vs 2.5% vs 15.8%) of decompensation events were significantly different by using the novel model cutoff values of >0, 0 to -0.68 (medium-risk), and <-0.68 (p<0.001). In the carvedilol-treating cohort, the patients with high-risk CSPH stratified by the novel model (treating cohort, n=51) had significantly lower rates of decompensation than those of NSBBs untreated patients with high-risk CSPH (n=613 before propensity score matching [PSM], n=102 after PSM, all p<0.05). Conclusion: A novel model provides stratification for CSPH and decompensation in patients with liver cirrhosis. Treatment with carvedilol significantly reduces the risk of decompensation among high-risk CSPH patients stratified by the novel model.