Abstract
Studies have shown post-conflict power-sharing as one of the important
institutional aspects of post-conflict peace. However, these studies are
yet to explain why and how lower-tier insurgents can play an influential
role during and after the power-sharing peace deals. The most important
aspect about them is that they are the rational actors whose interests
in ‘selective incentives’ are more likely to make them weigh post-power
sharing terms in terms of their cost-benefit analysis. The central
argument of this paper is that conflicts incurring a higher cost for the
lower-tier insurgent is more likely to survive a peaceful transition
only when their concern of ‘selective incentives’ has been taken care
of. With a statistical analysis of the Power-sharing Event Datasets
(PSED) of Ottomonn and Vullers (2015), this paper has found support for
this argument.