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Comment on Flaxman et al. (2020): The illusory effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe

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posted on 2020-06-17, 18:04 authored by Stefan Homburg, Christof KuhbandnerChristof Kuhbandner
Flaxman et al. (Nature, 8 June 2020,, 2020) infer that non-pharmaceutical interventions conducted by several European countries considerably reduced effective reproduction numbers and saved millions of lives. We show that their method is ill-conceived and that the alleged effects are artefacts. Moreover, we demonstrate that the United Kingdom?s lockdown was both superfluous and ineffective.


Declaration of conflicts of interest

The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.

Corresponding author email

Lead author country

  • Germany

Lead author job role

  • Independent researcher

Lead author institution

Leibniz University Hannover

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  • No

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Only previously published and freely available data was used (see references).


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