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Comment on Flaxman et al. (2020): The illusory effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe
preprintposted on 17.06.2020, 18:04 by Stefan Homburg, Christof KuhbandnerChristof Kuhbandner
Flaxman et al. (Nature, 8 June 2020, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2405-7, 2020) infer that non-pharmaceutical interventions conducted by several European countries considerably reduced effective reproduction numbers and saved millions of lives. We show that their method is ill-conceived and that the alleged effects are artefacts. Moreover, we demonstrate that the United Kingdom?s lockdown was both superfluous and ineffective.
Declaration of conflicts of interestThe authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.
Corresponding author firstname.lastname@example.org
Lead author countryGermany
Lead author job roleIndependent researcher
Lead author institutionLeibniz University Hannover
Ethics statementOnly previously published and freely available data was used (see references).
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