Preprints are early versions of research articles that have not been peer reviewed. They should not be regarded as conclusive and should not be reported in news media as established information.
Comment on Flaxman et al. (2020): The illusory effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe
preprintposted on 2020-06-17, 18:04 authored by Stefan Homburg, Christof KuhbandnerChristof Kuhbandner
Flaxman et al. (Nature, 8 June 2020, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2405-7, 2020) infer that non-pharmaceutical interventions conducted by several European countries considerably reduced effective reproduction numbers and saved millions of lives. We show that their method is ill-conceived and that the alleged effects are artefacts. Moreover, we demonstrate that the United Kingdom?s lockdown was both superfluous and ineffective.
Declaration of conflicts of interestThe authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.
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Lead author institutionLeibniz University Hannover
Ethics statementOnly previously published and freely available data was used (see references).
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