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2020-Lockdown Germany Preprint.pdf (291.61 kB)

Was Germany’s Corona Lockdown Necessary?

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posted on 2020-06-23, 22:24 authored by Christof KuhbandnerChristof Kuhbandner, Stefan Homburg, Harald Walach, Stefan Hockertz
During the spread of SARS-Cov-2, Germany imposed various restrictions, including an extensive lockdown on 23 March 2020. In this paper, we point out that the evaluation of the success of such policies depends critically on data quality. Using reported confirmed cases is apt to produce misleading results because these data come with unknown variable lags. Using data on incident cases, i.e., dates of the onset of symptoms, produces results that are much more reliable.


Declaration of conflicts of interest

The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest

Corresponding author email

Lead author country

  • Germany

Lead author institution

University of Regensburg, Germany

Human Participants

  • No

Ethics statement

Only previously published and freely available data was used (see references).


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