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2020-Lockdown Germany Preprint.pdf (291.61 kB)
Was Germany’s Corona Lockdown Necessary?
preprint
posted on 2020-06-23, 22:24 authored by Christof KuhbandnerChristof Kuhbandner, Stefan Homburg, Harald Walach, Stefan HockertzDuring the spread of SARS-Cov-2, Germany imposed various restrictions, including an extensive lockdown on 23 March 2020. In this paper, we point out that the evaluation of the success of such policies depends critically on data quality. Using reported confirmed cases is apt to produce misleading results because these data come with unknown variable lags. Using data on incident cases, i.e., dates of the onset of symptoms, produces results that are much more reliable.
History
Declaration of conflicts of interest
The authors declare that they have no conflict of interestCorresponding author email
christof.kuhbandner@ur.deLead author country
- Germany
Lead author institution
University of Regensburg, GermanyHuman Participants
- No
Ethics statement
Only previously published and freely available data was used (see references).Comments
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